Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.001348 0.001434 0.001523 0.001622 0.001728 0.001839 0.001965
2024-10-27 0.001225 0.001343 0.001469 0.001614 0.001777 0.001954 0.002161
2024-11-03 0.001103 0.001237 0.001385 0.001559 0.001761 0.001986 0.002259
2024-11-10 0.001046 0.001197 0.001367 0.001573 0.001817 0.002098 0.002448
2024-11-17 0.000984 0.001145 0.001330 0.001558 0.001835 0.002162 0.002579
2024-11-24 0.000946 0.001118 0.001319 0.001572 0.001885 0.002263 0.002758
2024-12-01 0.000892 0.001068 0.001277 0.001545 0.001882 0.002297 0.002851
2024-12-08 0.000851 0.001031 0.001248 0.001530 0.001892 0.002345 0.002963
2024-12-15 0.000815 0.000999 0.001223 0.001519 0.001905 0.002396 0.003077
2024-12-22 0.000788 0.000976 0.001208 0.001519 0.001930 0.002462 0.003214
2024-12-29 0.000757 0.000946 0.001183 0.001505 0.001936 0.002503 0.003317
2025-01-05 0.000732 0.000924 0.001167 0.001501 0.001954 0.002558 0.003441
2025-01-12 0.000695 0.000886 0.001130 0.001470 0.001939 0.002574 0.003520
2025-01-19 0.000670 0.000863 0.001113 0.001465 0.001959 0.002640 0.003672
2025-01-26 0.000630 0.000819 0.001065 0.001417 0.001916 0.002614 0.003689
2025-02-02 0.000616 0.000808 0.001062 0.001430 0.001959 0.002711 0.003893
2025-02-09 0.000593 0.000785 0.001041 0.001417 0.001964 0.002754 0.004015
2025-02-16 0.000581 0.000776 0.001039 0.001429 0.002006 0.002852 0.004227
2025-02-23 0.000557 0.000749 0.001012 0.001405 0.001993 0.002865 0.004307
2025-03-02 0.000539 0.000730 0.000993 0.001392 0.001996 0.002903 0.004426
2025-03-09 0.000522 0.000713 0.000977 0.001382 0.002002 0.002947 0.004556
2025-03-16 0.000509 0.000700 0.000968 0.001382 0.002023 0.003012 0.004726
2025-03-23 0.000494 0.000683 0.000952 0.001369 0.002024 0.003047 0.004845